Indicative approaches in forecasting of industry indexes

To prepare for modernisation at the level of an individual enterprise or the entire industry as a whole, the information about the possible direction and speed of market development is needed, so it is necessary to carry out the forecasting procedure. This article is devoted to short-term forecasting of the possible direction of development of the industry in the Russian economy. The article is based on the use of such tools as groups of financial multipliers, which are formed at the intersection of the production and stock dimensions of the industry. The proposed financial multipliers are considered in the dynamics, and the received signals from the proposed indicators are combined and compared with the dynamics of the development of stock instruments (stock value or the value of the industry index) in the process of assessing the quality of the received forecast. Copyright © 2019 Inderscience Enterprises Ltd.

Авторы
Издательство
Inderscience Publishers
Номер выпуска
4
Язык
Английский
Страницы
362-376
Статус
Опубликовано
Том
12
Год
2019
Организации
  • 1 Department of Finance and Credit, Peoples' Friendship University of Russia, Moscow, Russian Federation
Ключевые слова
Financial drivers; Market value indicators; Short-term forecasting; Signal indicators; Stock index
Дата создания
10.02.2020
Дата изменения
10.02.2020
Постоянная ссылка
https://repository.rudn.ru/ru/records/article/record/56346/