Lecture Notes in Computer Science (including subseries Lecture Notes in Artificial Intelligence and Lecture Notes in Bioinformatics).
Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH.
Vol. 12954 LNCS.
2021.
P. 3-20
The Reduced SIR (RSIR) model of COVID-19 pandemic based on a two-parameter nonlinear first-order ordinary differential equation with retarded time argument is developed. An algorithm aimed to forecast the COVID-19 pandemic development by approximate solution of RSIR model is proposed. The input data for this algorithm are the cumulative numbers of infected people on three dates (e.g., today, a week ago, and two weeks ago). © 2021, IFIP International Federation for Information Processing.