Prediction model of the efficacy and the implementation time of transportation intelligent systems

The article deals with a formalized model of the efficiency forecast based on the analysis of different models of the efficiency forecast and the implementation time of intelligent systems. This model is associated with mathematical counting of the future value of the process. This model is based on the representation of renewal and modernization in the form of a stochastic process. The mathematically-oriented understanding of this process is based on the sum of random variables, the result of which reflects the occurrence of events that lead to the failure of the implementation time of intelligent systems and the failures during modernization. © 2020 Published under licence by IOP Publishing Ltd.