REVOLUTIONARY EVENTS OF THE 21st CENTURY: A PRELIMINARY QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS; [РЕВОЛЮЦИОННЫЕ СОБЫТИЯ XXI ВЕКА: ПРЕДВАРИТЕЛЬНЫЙ КОЛИЧЕСТВЕННЫЙ АНАЛИЗ]

In this article, the authors consider important aspects of the revolutionary process of the 21st century. They analyse the reasons why the revolutionary process of the early 21st century is taking up speed, as well as forecasts that indicate that it will be very active in the future. Various revolutionary trends are identified, including a particularly alarming one – the growth in the number of radical Islamist revolutionary insurgencies. All of the above is illustrated by a statistical analysis of various types of revolutions. As far as we know, there are practically no quantitative studies of the revolutions of the last decades. Meanwhile, this analysis convincingly shows the growing importance of African countries in the revolutionary process in the World System, the role of which will continue to grow in the future due to the rapid growth of the population and maturation of statehood in this region. © (2023). All Rights Reserved.

Авторы
Goldstone J.A. , Grinin L.E. , Ustyuzhanin V.V. , Korotayev A.V.
Издательство
Редакция журнала «Полис» («Политические исследования»)
Номер выпуска
4
Язык
Английский
Страницы
54-71
Статус
Опубликовано
Год
2023
Организации
  • 1 George Mason University’s Schar School of Policy and Government, United States
  • 2 Centre for Stability and Risk Analysis, HSE University, Russian Federation
  • 3 Institute of Oriental Studies, Russian Academy of Sciences, Russian Federation
  • 4 Research Intern, Centre for Stability and Risk Analysis, HSE University, Russian Federation
  • 5 RUDN University, Russian Federation
  • 6 Faculty of Global Studies, M.V. Lomonosov Moscow State University, Russian Federation
Ключевые слова
color revolution; Islamist revolution; revolution; revolutionary event; revolutionary process; unconsolidated democracies
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