THE DETERMINANTS OF ECONOMIC GROWTH IN THE SUDAN

The study was intended to establish the possible factors that determine economic growth in the Sudan. Using OLS, the study uses real GDP to proxy for economic growth with the regressors comprising population, foreign direct investment, government consumption expenditure, household per capita consumption expenditure, physical capital (in terms of fixed capital formation), inflation, openness of the economy, and financial sector development. Having established the existence of counteraction in the model, the study proceeded to estimate the ECM. The results have revealed that foreign direct investment and financial sector development have been significant and carry the expected signs in both the long-run and the short-run models. While inflation has been significant and carries the expected sign in the long run model, it has been insignificant in the short run. Both the government consumption expenditure and household consumption expenditure have been significant in the long run and the short run models but with unexpected signs. Additionally, while infrastructure has been insignificant in the long run, it has been significant in the short run but carries unexpected sign. The openness of the economy has been a significant factor in boosting economic growth in the short run but not in the long run.

Authors
Publisher
Российский университет дружбы народов (РУДН)
Language
English
Pages
85-88
Status
Published
Year
2023
Organizations
  • 1 Peoples' Friendship University of Russia named after Patrice Lumumba
Keywords
Sudan; economic growth; unit root; integration; EcM; determinants
Date of creation
01.07.2024
Date of change
01.07.2024
Short link
https://repository.rudn.ru/en/records/article/record/107178/
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Qiyomuddinov Muslihiddin
Современная парадигма научного знания : актуальность и перспективы = Modern Paradigm of Scientific Knowledge : Actuality and Perspectives. Российский университет дружбы народов (РУДН). 2023. P. 88-90